About your prompt/fill though. The line about the not so safe refuge in the storm hit me and I had a flash of Matt going to Wesley after Foggy finds out and leaves.

Then I remembered that happens a few hours after Wesley tried to shoot the Man in the Mask. So that's that.

So maybe Wesley is already lost in his own game at that point and recognizes Matt while Fisk fights him. And maybe not shooting/missing him isn't a mistake at all.